Top 5 trends that will boost the Healthcare sector
Trends to track in Healthcare Sector
Wherever we look in the healthcare industry, we can find new
technology being used to fight illness, develop new vaccines and medicines, and
help people to live healthier lives.
It is apparent that some pharmaceutical companies are
starting to recognize the impact of the two major shifts: Downward pressure on
pricing and the move towards prevention, diagnosis, and real cures. These
changes are upsetting the established order, opening the door to new
competition, and forcing companies to rethink where they play – and who they
play with, requiring a growing emphasis on collaboration and partnership.
Over the last two years, many tech companies have focused on
applying their expertise to solve problems caused by the global pandemic. At
the same time, many healthcare companies that would not necessarily have
traditionally been considered tech companies have turned their attention to
technology and its potential to transform the delivery of their products and
services.
It's clear that the pandemic has accelerated the
digitization of the healthcare industry. According to the HIMSS Future of
Healthcare Report, 80% of healthcare providers plan to increase investment in
technology and digital solutions over the next five years. We will continue to
see growth in areas including telemedicine, personalized medicine, genomics,
and wearables, with organizers leveraging artificial intelligence (AI), cloud
computing, extender reality (XR), and the internet of things (IoT) to develop
and deliver new treatments and services.
Top 5 trends that will boost the growth of the Healthcare
sector
From drug discovery and development to medical imaging and
patient engagement, artificial intelligence occupies a prominent position in
the industry. Along with big data and analytics, more than a third of pharma
startups are working on software solutions for the industry.
There is still a lack of access to basic medicines in many
regions of the world, prompting demand for flexible pharmaceutical
manufacturing. The use of real-world data to collect accurate patient
experiences, blockchain to securely transact and manage patient records, and
augmented, virtual, and mixed reality (AR, VR & MR) solutions also find a
place in the top 10 pharma industry trends. However, these trends cover only a
small fraction of the breadth of innovation in the industry. Based on your
specific criteria, your top trends can look quite different.
1. Remote healthcare and telemedicine
Even when COVID goes, telemedicine is here to stay. Doctors
in India were stymied by the lack of clarity – whether I can, or I cannot, and
if they would be taken to the court. But on 25 March 2020, the Medical Council
of India amended the ethics part of the rules and the telemedicine practice
guidelines were issued – it has certain lacunas, but I am sure they will get
better over time. But I think the dissemination of the knowledge that telemedicine
is legal has not reached the nth degree. So its potential is not being fully
harnessed. But over time telemedicine consults will become a regularity.
The reasons for this increase are obvious – but even when we
take communicable diseases out of the equation, there are plenty of good
reasons to develop capabilities to examine, diagnose and treat patients
remotely. In remote regions and places where there are shortages of doctors
(such as China and India) this trend has the potential to save lives by
dramatically expanding access to medical treatment.
2. Making sense of medical data with AI and machine learning
The high-level use case for AI in healthcare, as in other
sectors, is in helping to make sense of the huge amount of messy, unstructured
data that’s available for capture and analysis. In healthcare, this can take
the form of medical image data – X-rays, CT and MRI scans, as well as many
other sources, including information on the spread of communicable diseases
like covid, the distribution of vaccines, genomic data from living cells, and
even handwritten doctors' notes.
Digital twins are quickly becoming popular in many
industries, in a trend that involves creating models informed by real-world
data that can be used to simulate any system or process.
In healthcare, this trend encompasses the idea of the
virtual patient – digital simulations of people that are used to test drugs and
treatments, with the aim of reducing the time it takes to get new medicines
from the design stage into general use. Initially, this may be confined to
models or simulations of individual organs or systems. However, progress is
being made towards useful models that simulate entire bodies. Current research
suggests this is still some way from being a realistic possibility, but during
2022 we will continue to see progress towards this goal.
Shift in trends – for better future
An increasing number of pharmaceutical firms – and, indeed,
medical device companies – are partnering and integrating with technology
businesses. In a bid to tackle the huge and rising blight of diabetes, Sanofi
and Verily, the life sciences unit of Google parent Alphabet, announced in
September 2016 that they would invest approximately US$500 million in a joint
venture to combine devices, software, and medicine.
We believe medical device companies are leading the
cooperation with tech companies. For example, in the diabetes space, one
interesting partnership involves device giant Medtronic teaming up with tech
firm Qualcomm, to develop a continuous glucose monitoring system that will also
provide actionable insights to patients and providers.
Software is becoming more and more important in our lives,
and healthcare is no exception. Another pharma tech alliance between Varian
Medical Systems and Flatiron Health aims to develop cloud-based, electronic
health records, data analytics, and decision support software geared toward
oncology patients.
3. Nutraceuticals are the gem of healthcare
In the vitamins and nutrients market, the top five
categories constitute ~85% share. Increasing focus on prevention, self-care,
health and wellness, and awareness about the importance of high immunity is
leading to increased consumption of vitamin and mineral supplements and other
nutraceutical products.4. Biosimilars
New chemical entities (NCEs) and new biological
entities (NBEs) These products are the major focus for leading multinational
pharma companies. Indian companies are beginning to improve their in-house
novel drug development with the aim of launching new blockbusters. Developing
NCEs and NBEs put Indian companies in direct competition with global
innovators. Some of the large Indian pharma companies, such as Zydus, Glenmark,
and Sun, as well as clinical research organizations (CROs) and contract
development and manufacturing organizations (CDMOs), are already engaged in
researching new drugs.In 2013, Zydus became the first Indian company to launch an
indigenously developed NCE, Lipaglyn (saroglitazar), the world’s first glitazar
treatment for diabetic dyslipidemia or hypertriglyceridemia in Type II
diabetes, not controlled by statins alone. The drug was recently approved as
the first drug for the treatment of Non-Cirrhotic and Non-Alcoholic
Steatohepatitis (NASH) in India (March 2020).
The second phase of development in the US is expected to
get approval in 2027. Biocon was the first company to launch indigenously
developed novel biologics in India. The company launched BIOMab EGFR for head
and neck cancer treatment in 2006, and Alzumab (itolizumab) for psoriasis
treatment in 2013. Both these novel monoclonal antibodies have been launched in
several countries in collaboration with global companies.
5. Rise in E-pharmacies/ E- Prescriptions
E-pharmacy holds the potential to improve the accessibility of
medicine to even the remotest corners of the country. The first online pharmacy
was started in the US in the late 1990s. In India, the e-pharmacy space is still at
a nascent stage. The market was estimated at US$0.5b in 201954 with companies
such as NetMeds, PharmEasy, Medlife, and 1mg dominating the market. It is
projected to reach US$4.5b in 2025 at a CAGR of 44% for the period 2019—2025,
representing about 10%-12% of the pharmaceutical sales (up from 2%-3% levels in
2019).
India’s drug prices are among the lowest in the world.
However, they are still out of reach for a large percentage of the population
due to high out-of-pocket expenditure. To tackle affordability issues, price
control mechanisms have been in place since 1955 when the government first
imposed price ceilings under Section 3 of the Essential Commodities Act.
Many of the developments in the pharmaceutical industry
mirror those in the automotive sector. Like pharmaceuticals, the industry is
relatively mature and made up of a few major players. And automakers also face
intense pressure from regulators – in their case to cut emissions, accelerating
the move toward electric and other non-polluting vehicles. The growing
dependence upon technology, primarily software, is attracting the interest of
new entrants such as Google, Uber, and Tesla who are focusing on mobility,
rather than on the automotive industry itself.
Pharmaceutical companies that manage to embrace the most
appropriate archetypes, and master disruption, have the greatest chance to
deliver real value.
Twitter Handle: @shuchi_nahar
Disclaimer: The information provided on Shuchi Nahar’s Weekend Blog is for educational purposes only. I am not SEBI Registered please ask your investment advisor before taking any actions. The articles may contain external links, references, and a compilation of various publicly available articles. Hence all the authors are given due credit for the same. All copyrights and trademarks of images belong to their respective owners and are used for Fair Educational Purpose only.
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